U.S CPI News Today: Could Low Inflation Data Trigger Crypto and Stock Market Rally?
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November is set to be released at 8:30 AM ET (7:00 PM IST) today. Analysts expect a headline reading of 3.1% and a core reading of 3.0%, with month-over-month growth projected at around 0.3%.This CPI release is particularly important as the October report was canceled due to government shutdown-related data disruptions, leaving the Federal Reserve and markets partially in the dark. Investors are closely monitoring services for signs of sustained disinflation and goods to assess remaining tariff-driven price pressures.Historical Market ReactionIn prior CPI releases, the S&P 500 rose 10 days later in 7 out of 8 cases, with October being the exception due to a hawkish FOMC. With the Fed meeting now behind us and seasonal “Santa rally” tailwinds approaching, markets are generally expected to move higher.Potential Impact on CryptocurrenciesBitcoin , Solana , and other crypto assets are highly sensitive to CPI data due to its influence on liquidity and Fed policy expectations.Bullish ScenarioCPI at or below 3.1% could ease Fed concernsLikely decline in the US Dollar Index (DXY)Increased liquidity may boost crypto pricesBearish ScenarioHotter-than-expected CPI may keep the Fed cautiousRisk assets, including cryptocurrencies, could face downward pressureBitcoin Technical OutlookTraders expect potential liquidity sweeps and reactions around order blocks. While short-term volatility is likely, the higher timeframe trend for Bitcoin remains cautious, with the CPI data serving as a key near-term catalyst.If November CPI meets or falls below 3.1%, cryptocurrencies may benefit from renewed bullish momentum alongside stocks. Conversely, a hotter reading could dampen market sentiment. Investors and traders should brace for volatile market reactions following the release.FAQsWhat time is the US CPI released? The US CPI report is released at 8:30 AM ET, which is 7:00 PM IST, and often triggers immediate volatility across global markets. How does CPI data affect Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies? Lower CPI supports easier liquidity and risk-taking, often boosting crypto prices, while higher CPI can pressure Bitcoin and altcoins. What happens if CPI comes in hotter than expected? A higher CPI could keep the Fed cautious, strengthen the dollar, and trigger short-term sell-offs in stocks and cryptocurrencies. Should investors expect high volatility after the CPI release? Yes. CPI often sparks sharp moves across markets, with crypto seeing fast price swings before trends stabilize in the following days.