Polymarket Elon Musk Tweet Count Submarket Sees Sharp Odds Drop

Polymarket’s submarket "240-259" in the Elon Musk tweet-count event for July 24, 2026 to July 31, 2026 saw the "Yes" probability fall sharply from 52.65% one hour ago to 30.55% at present, a drop of 22.1 percentage points. According to ChainCatcher, Catcher Predict monitoring attributed the move to the impact of a sudden news event.