Polymarket 'Ceasefire Continues' Submarket Jumps to 79%

The probability of the "Yes" option in Polymarket's "U.S.-Iran ceasefire continues" event for the "September 30" submarket surged to 79% from 63.5% one hour earlier, according to Catcher Predict monitoring. According to ChainCatcher, the move reflected a 15.5 percentage point swing and came amid the impact of breaking news.