Galaxy Research Finds 69.2% of Polymarket Retail Accounts Ended Below Break-Even

Galaxy Research, using Polymarket on-chain settlement data compiled by Stork, analyzed about 2.9 million retail accounts on an international platform and found that 69.2% finished below break-even, with total losses of $338.9 million. According to Odaily, 15.2% of accounts did not open new positions within 30 days after a loss, compared with 6.1% after a profit.The report defined expert traders as accounts that traded at least five category markets and concentrated more than 60% of activity in a single theme. Such accounts made up 44.1% of the sample. Sports traders accounted for 47% of all expert traders but had a 25.1% profit rate, the lowest among themes, while technology and science traders had the highest profit rate at 41.2%, though the sample was small.